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Several Stock Indices Hit Record Highs

Tuesday, Feb 9 2021
Market Talk

Energy and equity markets are both seeing modest pullbacks Tuesday morning, after several stock indices hit record highs Monday and energy prices briefly reached new one year highs in the overnight session. The bullish trend lines are still safe for now, and we’ll need to see refined products drop a nickel or more before they’re threatened. 

Refinery margins had been steadily increasing during the three month rally, with most crack spread calculations doubling during that stretch. Those spreads have pulled back in the past week however, in tandem with the pullback in RIN prices that’s continued even after an attempt to cap the price of RINs was struck down on Friday.

The EIA this morning reports on the growing exports of propane from the U.S. as demand for both heating, cooking and plastics in Asian markets continues to increase.

It’s hard to read anything about the energy industry these days without climate change being included in the discussion, while new. Don’t expect that to change any time soon, as the Fed is starting to include climate risks into its policy making according to a paper published Monday, noting the “far reaching economic and financial consequences for many households and businesses." Meanwhile, another paper published Monday by a group of scientists cautioned against any current financial modeling based on climate change predictions. The report started by saying simply “The rules by which climate science can be used appropriately to inform assessments of how climate change will impact financial risk have not yet been developed.”

Today’s interesting read from the FT: why this rally is unusually widespread across many commodity markets. 

Click here to download a PDF of today's TACenergy Market Talk.

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